← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.73+2.94vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia-0.34+3.99vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy0.94+1.26vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.72+0.14vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.95-1.12vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.13vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.20-1.41vs Predicted
-
8American University-0.91-0.71vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary-0.21-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.94Christopher Newport University0.7315.7%1st Place
-
5.99University of Virginia-0.345.9%1st Place
-
4.26U. S. Naval Academy0.9414.4%1st Place
-
4.14Hampton University0.7213.5%1st Place
-
3.88Rollins College0.9515.8%1st Place
-
3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9016.6%1st Place
-
5.59Washington College0.209.0%1st Place
-
7.29American University-0.912.5%1st Place
-
6.03William and Mary-0.216.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Bendura | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Maxwell Penders | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
Robert Ziman | 14.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
Stefano Palamara | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
Milo Miller | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Max Kleha | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
Kennedy Jones | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 12.6% |
Anika Liner | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 43.9% |
Charlotte Stillman | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.