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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.97vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+5.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+2.99vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32+0.43vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69-0.51vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.87+0.90vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41+0.80vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19+1.97vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-3.40vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-1.67+4.98vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-1.91vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.08-2.12vs Predicted
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14Duke University-1.01+0.27vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.46-2.00vs Predicted
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16Auburn University0.12-5.42vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-1.80-0.75vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97College of Charleston2.4918.7%1st Place
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7.51North Carolina State University1.126.2%1st Place
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5.99Jacksonville University1.709.8%1st Place
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7.12Eckerd College1.177.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Miami2.3213.1%1st Place
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5.49Florida State University1.6911.3%1st Place
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7.9Clemson University0.875.6%1st Place
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8.8Rollins College0.413.8%1st Place
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10.97The Citadel0.192.4%1st Place
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6.6University of South Florida1.607.1%1st Place
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15.98University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
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10.09Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.2%1st Place
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10.88Wake Forest University0.082.6%1st Place
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14.27Duke University-1.011.0%1st Place
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13.0University of North Carolina-0.461.2%1st Place
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10.58Auburn University0.122.5%1st Place
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16.25University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
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10.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.343.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 18.7% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 27.9% | 34.5% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack Wigmore | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 11.5% |
| May Proctor | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 24.1% | 44.9% |
| Andrew Simpson | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.