Race 3 - nwicsa-coed-quals | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.4

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Philip Gordon & Hannah Darrow

University of Oregon

2.51

+0.93

vs Predicted
2

Andrew Nelson & Meghan McDonald

Western Washington University

1.49

+0.79

vs Predicted
3

Glen Stellmacher & Haley Lane

University of Washington

2.87

-1.31

vs Predicted
6

David Eva & Laura Yonamine

University of Puget Sound

0.36

-2.40

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.93

Philip Gordon & Hannah Darrow

University of Oregon

2.51

0.4%

1st Place
2.79

Andrew Nelson & Meghan McDonald

Western Washington University

1.49

0.1%

1st Place
1.69

Glen Stellmacher & Haley Lane

University of Washington

2.87

0.5%

1st Place
3.6

David Eva & Laura Yonamine

University of Puget Sound

0.36

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Philip Gordon	35.6%	40.7%	18.6%	5.1%
Andrew Nelson	11.6%	18.7%	49.2%	20.5%
Glen Stellmacher	49.7%	34.1%	14.1%	2.1%
David Eva	3.1%	6.5%	18.1%	72.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.