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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+2.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.45vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.17+1.15vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.46+1.85vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.46vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.24+5.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.34vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.99+1.37vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.60-0.98vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.30-2.13vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.11-5.26vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.10-1.14vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.21-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.99-5.63vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.22-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.15Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
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5.85Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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4.54SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.25William and Mary0.240.0%1st Place
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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9.37University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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8.02Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.87Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.19Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.12Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 17.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Wolfe | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 21.4% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.