← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+2.17vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.27+2.62vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University1.47+0.22vs Predicted
-
4Washington College-0.26+1.68vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.60-1.08vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia-0.78+0.63vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy0.32-2.58vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.62-1.60vs Predicted
-
9American University-1.01-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0422.6%1st Place
-
4.62Old Dominion University0.279.7%1st Place
-
3.22Hampton University1.4722.4%1st Place
-
5.68Washington College-0.266.7%1st Place
-
3.92Christopher Newport University0.6015.6%1st Place
-
6.63University of Virginia-0.784.0%1st Place
-
4.42U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.9%1st Place
-
6.4William and Mary-0.624.1%1st Place
-
6.95American University-1.013.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 22.6% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emma Friedauer | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.4% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 10.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 27.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 21.6% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 20.1% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.