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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+2.53vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+1.65vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.60-0.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-1.87vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.35vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.62-0.66vs Predicted
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8American University-1.01-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Hampton University1.4722.2%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.3%1st Place
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4.65Old Dominion University0.2710.6%1st Place
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3.91Christopher Newport University0.6015.3%1st Place
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3.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0423.7%1st Place
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5.65Washington College-0.265.8%1st Place
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6.34William and Mary-0.624.5%1st Place
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6.97American University-1.012.6%1st Place
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6.62University of Virginia-0.783.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 22.2% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Mats Braaten | 23.7% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| Ryan Curtis | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 33.6% |
| Mason Chapman | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.