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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.33vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+1.94vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+1.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.89vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.26+0.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.32-1.54vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-0.04vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.62-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Hampton University1.4720.7%1st Place
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3.94Christopher Newport University0.6015.5%1st Place
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4.57Old Dominion University0.2710.2%1st Place
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3.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0424.6%1st Place
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5.57Washington College-0.267.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.3%1st Place
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6.96American University-1.012.9%1st Place
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6.39William and Mary-0.624.2%1st Place
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6.66University of Virginia-0.783.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 20.7% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.5% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Mats Braaten | 24.6% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Collinson | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 10.4% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Curtis | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 33.5% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 21.4% |
| Mason Chapman | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 22.2% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.