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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.18vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+1.97vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.32+0.43vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.27-0.35vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.36vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.62-0.60vs Predicted
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8American University-1.01-1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Hampton University1.4722.8%1st Place
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3.97Christopher Newport University0.6014.5%1st Place
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3.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0422.9%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy0.3212.6%1st Place
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4.65Old Dominion University0.279.9%1st Place
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5.64Washington College-0.266.2%1st Place
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6.4William and Mary-0.624.2%1st Place
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6.96American University-1.013.5%1st Place
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6.62University of Virginia-0.783.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 22.8% | 21.0% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.5% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Mats Braaten | 22.9% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Collinson | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 10.3% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 20.4% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 35.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.