← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.47+2.27vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.09vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.60+0.95vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University0.27+0.56vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy0.32-0.61vs Predicted
-
6American University-1.01+0.88vs Predicted
-
7Washington College-0.26-1.51vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-1.00-1.12vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia-0.78-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.27Hampton University1.4722.0%1st Place
-
3.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0422.9%1st Place
-
3.95Christopher Newport University0.6014.9%1st Place
-
4.56Old Dominion University0.2710.3%1st Place
-
4.39U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.6%1st Place
-
6.88American University-1.013.5%1st Place
-
5.49Washington College-0.267.0%1st Place
-
6.88William and Mary-1.003.0%1st Place
-
6.49University of Virginia-0.784.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 22.0% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mats Braaten | 22.9% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 30.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 9.1% |
| Amelia Levine | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 30.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 22.0% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.