← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.40vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.71vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.28+0.90vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.11+1.80vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.17-1.76vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.60+0.75vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.46-2.19vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University1.30-0.23vs Predicted
-
11University of Rochester0.99-1.40vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-0.10-0.09vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University0.21-1.71vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University0.22-2.88vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary0.24-3.90vs Predicted
-
16University of Rochester0.99-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.4SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
-
3.9Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
-
4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.8Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
4.24Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
-
7.75Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
-
5.81Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.77Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
-
11.91University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
-
11.29Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
-
11.12Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
-
11.1William and Mary0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 12.9% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 19.0% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 17.7% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 15.4% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 23.2% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Liz Wolfe | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.