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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.32+1.44vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.60-0.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.27-0.38vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.51vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-0.16vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.00-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Hampton University1.4722.4%1st Place
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3.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0422.9%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.1%1st Place
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3.88Christopher Newport University0.6016.2%1st Place
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4.62Old Dominion University0.2710.3%1st Place
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5.49Washington College-0.267.3%1st Place
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6.84American University-1.013.1%1st Place
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6.87William and Mary-1.003.3%1st Place
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6.58University of Virginia-0.783.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 22.4% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mats Braaten | 22.9% | 22.3% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 16.2% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Emma Friedauer | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 9.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 29.8% |
| Amelia Levine | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 30.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.