Race 7A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nancy Hagood 16.2% 18.4% 16.0% 12.6% 12.2% 8.8% 6.7% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 18.5% 17.4% 15.8% 14.6% 12.0% 9.3% 6.4% 3.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 16.4% 13.8% 14.3% 14.1% 13.0% 10.1% 8.9% 4.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 12.3% 15.1% 12.7% 13.7% 12.8% 11.8% 9.5% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 4.1% 5.6% 6.6% 8.2% 7.3% 12.2% 12.1% 14.3% 11.2% 8.4% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 5.5% 5.8% 7.6% 9.1% 14.3% 13.2% 13.7% 10.8% 7.2% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
George Prieto 14.9% 12.3% 13.4% 12.6% 13.2% 12.0% 10.0% 5.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 7.6% 7.5% 10.0% 9.3% 10.6% 13.4% 11.9% 10.5% 8.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.2% 8.3% 10.9% 13.4% 17.5% 15.1% 8.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 3.0% 4.3% 6.5% 9.2% 13.0% 13.4% 14.2% 13.9% 10.4% 5.5% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 3.0% 4.3% 6.5% 9.2% 13.0% 13.4% 14.2% 13.9% 10.4% 5.5% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 1.2% 2.5% 5.0% 5.7% 9.1% 10.5% 19.6% 19.8% 21.2% 0.0%
Liz Wolfe 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 3.5% 7.1% 10.4% 14.4% 16.4% 18.6% 19.9% 0.0%
Stephen Ciccariello 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 4.5% 6.4% 9.5% 13.2% 16.5% 20.2% 19.0% 0.0%
Bryan Whittington 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.5% 6.0% 7.2% 9.6% 13.3% 21.5% 31.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.