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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+2.90vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.17+2.03vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.39vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.15vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+1.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.35vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.60-0.24vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30-0.32vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.46-4.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.99-1.39vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.21-0.70vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.10-1.13vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.22-2.87vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.24-3.93vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.99-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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4.03Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
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4.39SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.76Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.68Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.92Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.3Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.13Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.07William and Mary0.240.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 16.7% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 17.2% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 12.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Liz Wolfe | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.