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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.27+3.58vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.26+3.54vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+0.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.86vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.60-1.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.32-1.57vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.00-0.12vs Predicted
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8American University-1.01-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Old Dominion University0.279.8%1st Place
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5.54Washington College-0.266.6%1st Place
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3.22Hampton University1.4721.7%1st Place
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3.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0423.2%1st Place
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3.81Christopher Newport University0.6016.0%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy0.3212.3%1st Place
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6.88William and Mary-1.003.4%1st Place
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6.85American University-1.012.9%1st Place
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6.57University of Virginia-0.784.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Friedauer | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 9.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 21.7% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mats Braaten | 23.2% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 16.0% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Amelia Levine | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 31.6% |
| Ryan Curtis | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 22.1% | 28.4% |
| Mason Chapman | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 20.9% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.