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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.27+3.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+2.43vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+0.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.85vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.26+0.54vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.60-2.07vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.00-0.12vs Predicted
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8American University-1.01-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Old Dominion University0.2712.1%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy0.3212.0%1st Place
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3.21Hampton University1.4722.6%1st Place
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3.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0421.6%1st Place
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5.54Washington College-0.267.0%1st Place
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3.93Christopher Newport University0.6014.5%1st Place
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6.88William and Mary-1.003.0%1st Place
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6.84American University-1.013.2%1st Place
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6.55University of Virginia-0.783.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Friedauer | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.6% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mats Braaten | 21.6% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Collinson | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 8.7% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Amelia Levine | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 22.8% | 30.6% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 31.2% |
| Mason Chapman | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.