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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.23vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.11vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+1.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.32+0.35vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.60-0.99vs Predicted
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6American University-1.01+0.82vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.26-1.49vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.00-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Hampton University1.4720.8%1st Place
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3.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0424.2%1st Place
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4.51Old Dominion University0.2710.9%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Naval Academy0.3212.2%1st Place
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4.01Christopher Newport University0.6014.8%1st Place
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6.82American University-1.013.1%1st Place
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5.51Washington College-0.267.1%1st Place
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6.83William and Mary-1.003.5%1st Place
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6.63University of Virginia-0.783.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 20.8% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mats Braaten | 24.2% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 29.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 7.8% |
| Amelia Levine | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 30.6% |
| Mason Chapman | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.