Race 10A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tyler Steel 13.0% 15.8% 14.2% 13.3% 11.8% 10.2% 8.9% 6.3% 3.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 18.2% 16.2% 15.6% 13.1% 14.2% 9.4% 7.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 18.9% 16.7% 13.8% 15.2% 11.8% 10.0% 6.3% 4.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Prieto 11.5% 13.9% 12.7% 13.1% 13.2% 11.5% 10.0% 7.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 6.3% 6.6% 9.0% 10.7% 11.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.9% 7.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 4.6% 4.3% 7.4% 12.1% 12.9% 13.1% 14.4% 11.3% 7.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 7.2% 8.4% 11.4% 12.8% 12.6% 12.4% 8.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 15.9% 14.1% 15.0% 13.1% 11.4% 10.5% 8.7% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 3.5% 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 5.0% 7.5% 10.1% 12.4% 16.5% 13.8% 10.0% 5.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Liz Wolfe 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 4.3% 6.5% 9.0% 13.7% 17.6% 18.4% 21.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 1.3% 2.8% 5.3% 5.8% 8.6% 10.9% 17.4% 14.8% 13.0% 9.8% 4.6% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 1.3% 2.8% 5.3% 5.8% 8.6% 10.9% 17.4% 14.8% 13.0% 9.8% 4.6% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 7.0% 8.9% 14.0% 17.9% 18.1% 20.9% 0.0%
Stephen Ciccariello 1.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 3.7% 6.5% 8.9% 14.4% 17.1% 19.0% 19.5% 0.0%
Bryan Whittington 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 5.2% 7.7% 9.2% 13.8% 22.2% 31.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.