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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.18vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.11vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+1.50vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.60-0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.32-0.63vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.38vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-0.16vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.00-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.78-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Hampton University1.4722.4%1st Place
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3.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0422.4%1st Place
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4.5Old Dominion University0.2711.8%1st Place
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3.93Christopher Newport University0.6014.9%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.9%1st Place
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5.62Washington College-0.265.7%1st Place
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6.84American University-1.013.4%1st Place
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6.9William and Mary-1.003.5%1st Place
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6.54University of Virginia-0.784.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 22.4% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mats Braaten | 22.4% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 8.8% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 29.9% |
| Amelia Levine | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 29.9% |
| Mason Chapman | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.