Race 11A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nicholas Clemence 18.6% 17.3% 15.7% 13.3% 10.7% 10.1% 6.6% 4.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.3% 1.8% 3.2% 2.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.1% 8.4% 11.0% 15.4% 14.5% 14.2% 8.4% 3.7% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 16.8% 14.6% 12.8% 14.8% 11.6% 10.2% 7.9% 5.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 2.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 4.6% 7.9% 8.6% 13.3% 14.2% 14.1% 10.3% 7.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.1% 1.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.8% 9.9% 13.9% 15.9% 13.0% 10.6% 6.1% 2.7% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 15.6% 16.6% 14.9% 13.0% 12.4% 10.2% 8.4% 3.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 6.6% 5.2% 7.5% 7.8% 8.3% 10.5% 13.0% 14.2% 10.3% 9.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 7.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 11.7% 12.4% 11.2% 11.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 13.3% 12.2% 13.6% 13.3% 13.6% 10.7% 11.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 1.1% 2.2% 3.7% 6.0% 8.3% 13.2% 17.8% 19.9% 21.9% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.3% 1.8% 3.2% 2.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.1% 8.4% 11.0% 15.4% 14.5% 14.2% 8.4% 3.7% 0.0%
Bryan Whittington 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.3% 2.6% 2.1% 5.3% 7.3% 10.1% 14.1% 22.8% 31.5% 0.0%
Liz Wolfe 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.2% 2.6% 4.7% 6.7% 9.4% 15.0% 16.4% 18.2% 20.5% 0.0%
Stephen Ciccariello 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 5.5% 6.2% 8.8% 13.7% 16.4% 20.0% 18.7% 0.0%
George Prieto 13.2% 14.6% 11.8% 13.6% 11.9% 11.9% 10.1% 6.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.