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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+4.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+2.02vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+2.89vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+4.92vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+5.96vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-1.67+7.97vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.12-1.41vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University0.08+1.19vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-1.08vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.87-3.92vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.17-6.10vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.46-1.02vs Predicted
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15Auburn University0.12-4.30vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.01-1.88vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-1.80-0.61vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of Miami2.3212.7%1st Place
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4.02College of Charleston2.4918.4%1st Place
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5.89Jacksonville University1.7010.0%1st Place
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8.92Rollins College0.413.8%1st Place
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10.96The Citadel0.192.2%1st Place
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5.6Florida State University1.6911.8%1st Place
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6.48University of South Florida1.608.3%1st Place
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15.97University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
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7.59North Carolina State University1.126.4%1st Place
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11.19Wake Forest University0.082.2%1st Place
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9.92Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.0%1st Place
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8.08Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
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6.9Eckerd College1.178.0%1st Place
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12.98University of North Carolina-0.461.3%1st Place
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10.7Auburn University0.122.4%1st Place
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14.12Duke University-1.010.7%1st Place
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16.39University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
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10.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.343.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 18.4% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Peter Foley | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 28.3% | 35.9% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 4.5% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 9.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 24.1% | 46.8% |
| Andrew Simpson | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.