Race 12A

maisa-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
George Prieto 13.0% 13.7% 13.8% 12.9% 11.9% 10.5% 9.0% 7.4% 4.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 17.2% 14.8% 14.6% 12.6% 13.7% 11.2% 8.0% 3.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 14.1% 13.9% 12.9% 13.7% 10.7% 11.7% 9.9% 7.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 4.0% 5.8% 7.8% 7.0% 8.4% 10.4% 13.5% 13.1% 12.2% 9.1% 5.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 15.1% 17.7% 16.0% 14.1% 12.3% 9.9% 7.8% 3.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 5.6% 5.5% 7.1% 9.0% 13.8% 14.9% 12.4% 10.6% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 19.8% 16.1% 13.9% 14.2% 13.3% 9.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.4% 8.5% 11.3% 14.8% 13.8% 13.1% 10.4% 5.4% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.9% 2.1% 3.4% 1.9% 4.3% 5.6% 6.8% 10.7% 15.2% 17.2% 13.1% 9.8% 4.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 6.2% 7.4% 8.5% 10.3% 9.8% 13.5% 14.9% 12.6% 8.2% 4.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Liz Wolfe 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 4.5% 6.0% 9.1% 13.6% 18.4% 19.9% 19.5% 0.0%
Stephen Ciccariello 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 1.6% 2.7% 3.4% 6.7% 9.4% 13.4% 18.6% 17.4% 21.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.4% 8.5% 11.3% 14.8% 13.8% 13.1% 10.4% 5.4% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 1.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 4.3% 5.5% 9.3% 13.9% 16.0% 20.7% 19.7% 0.0%
Bryan Whittington 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 5.2% 7.4% 11.2% 12.6% 22.5% 30.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.