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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+4.12vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.82+2.28vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.16+1.81vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03+0.05vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston0.16-1.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.50vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12University of Wisconsin0.3610.8%1st Place
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4.28Jacksonville University0.8214.0%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University-0.849.5%1st Place
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5.81University of South Florida0.166.6%1st Place
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4.02Florida State University0.7716.3%1st Place
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6.05University of Miami-0.035.9%1st Place
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5.62College of Charleston0.167.6%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.8%1st Place
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3.39North Carolina State University1.2621.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Marissa Tegeder | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
Agija Elerte | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
Laura Smith | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
Katie Nelson | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
Arantxa Argibay | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 21.9% |
Rowan Schanley | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 17.2% |
Annika VanderHorst | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% |
Olivia Sowa | 21.5% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.