Race 13A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Prieto 14.1% 13.3% 14.8% 12.0% 11.9% 11.9% 9.9% 6.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 16.3% 15.5% 15.6% 14.9% 11.7% 9.8% 6.4% 5.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 14.2% 14.7% 13.5% 14.2% 12.9% 12.4% 8.0% 5.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 2.7% 3.4% 4.8% 5.4% 5.6% 7.9% 10.9% 11.3% 14.6% 15.6% 10.8% 5.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 10.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 12.0% 8.3% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 20.6% 19.3% 14.0% 15.7% 10.4% 7.3% 6.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 7.7% 8.2% 11.1% 15.2% 20.7% 13.5% 5.4% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 5.8% 6.7% 6.7% 8.0% 8.1% 11.9% 13.1% 12.9% 12.4% 8.2% 4.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Amanda Taselaar 10.3% 10.5% 13.1% 9.3% 13.9% 12.1% 10.5% 8.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 5.6% 8.1% 11.7% 15.1% 15.8% 13.4% 9.1% 3.9% 0.0%
Liz Wolfe 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 2.8% 4.1% 5.7% 7.5% 11.4% 17.9% 24.6% 20.6% 0.0%
Bryan Whittington 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 3.8% 5.4% 8.9% 12.3% 20.8% 41.5% 0.0%
Stephen Ciccariello 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 3.7% 8.4% 11.4% 15.8% 23.6% 27.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 7.7% 8.2% 11.1% 15.2% 20.7% 13.5% 5.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.