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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+3.22vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.82+1.18vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.18vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03+0.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.16-2.27vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.16-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44North Carolina State University1.2621.4%1st Place
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5.22University of Wisconsin0.368.2%1st Place
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4.18Jacksonville University0.8215.8%1st Place
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5.18Christopher Newport University-0.8410.4%1st Place
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4.04Florida State University0.7715.7%1st Place
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6.16University of Miami-0.035.8%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.9%1st Place
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5.73College of Charleston0.166.8%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida0.168.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Olivia Sowa | 21.4% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Marissa Tegeder | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% |
Agija Elerte | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
Laura Smith | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 9.4% |
Katie Nelson | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
Arantxa Argibay | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 22.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
Rowan Schanley | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.