Race 3A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Arantxa Argibay 5.7% 7.2% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 11.3% 11.8% 16.4% 23.3%
Katie Nelson 15.0% 16.8% 14.3% 13.4% 11.5% 11.2% 9.3% 5.6% 2.9%
Olivia Sowa 22.4% 19.1% 16.8% 13.9% 10.9% 6.9% 5.9% 3.5% 0.8%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.8% 7.2% 8.1% 9.0% 9.6% 11.1% 13.2% 15.7% 18.1%
Marissa Tegeder 9.7% 9.3% 10.9% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% 11.9% 11.0% 9.3%
Laura Smith 8.9% 10.5% 11.1% 10.2% 11.7% 12.8% 13.1% 11.5% 10.2%
Agija Elerte 15.8% 13.1% 13.4% 12.7% 12.9% 10.6% 9.1% 7.7% 4.8%
Annika VanderHorst 7.6% 8.9% 9.7% 11.1% 11.5% 12.7% 12.6% 13.9% 11.9%
Rowan Schanley 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.8% 10.9% 10.8% 13.1% 14.8% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.