Race 14A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Prieto 15.1% 12.6% 13.3% 12.9% 12.3% 11.7% 8.9% 7.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 19.5% 18.4% 15.6% 14.9% 12.5% 6.1% 6.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 6.3% 9.0% 10.7% 9.8% 11.4% 10.5% 13.7% 11.5% 8.8% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 14.7% 14.9% 14.9% 12.4% 11.5% 12.2% 8.2% 5.8% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 18.1% 15.7% 15.4% 11.5% 12.1% 10.7% 6.8% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 6.0% 6.6% 6.3% 8.9% 8.9% 9.7% 13.6% 13.3% 10.6% 9.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 5.6% 6.4% 7.7% 12.5% 16.6% 17.1% 15.0% 5.5% 0.0%
Amanda Taselaar 11.3% 10.0% 10.8% 12.5% 11.5% 14.8% 11.1% 8.3% 5.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.1% 4.1% 2.5% 4.9% 4.2% 4.7% 7.9% 10.8% 15.8% 16.6% 15.1% 7.8% 3.5% 0.0%
Liz Wolfe 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 7.0% 11.5% 17.9% 24.0% 23.2% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 2.9% 3.9% 5.0% 5.6% 6.5% 9.0% 8.6% 13.6% 15.9% 12.6% 10.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.0%
Stephen Ciccariello 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 3.7% 4.8% 5.7% 12.3% 16.0% 23.4% 26.7% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 5.6% 6.4% 7.7% 12.5% 16.6% 17.1% 15.0% 5.5% 0.0%
Bryan Whittington 0.8% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 3.2% 6.1% 8.3% 14.2% 23.0% 38.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.