Race 4A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Olivia Sowa 22.1% 18.6% 15.8% 14.1% 10.9% 8.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.5%
Annika VanderHorst 7.3% 8.9% 9.6% 10.0% 9.6% 11.9% 13.8% 13.9% 14.9%
Arantxa Argibay 6.0% 6.9% 7.0% 7.6% 10.0% 10.1% 12.8% 15.3% 24.2%
Rowan Schanley 7.7% 8.1% 9.1% 9.3% 9.8% 11.3% 13.2% 15.3% 16.2%
Katie Nelson 17.4% 15.0% 15.5% 13.7% 11.8% 10.2% 8.0% 6.0% 2.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.7% 10.9% 13.5% 15.5% 15.9%
Marissa Tegeder 9.3% 10.1% 10.9% 10.8% 12.0% 13.5% 13.0% 10.3% 10.2%
Laura Smith 8.5% 10.7% 9.6% 10.4% 13.0% 12.9% 11.7% 12.6% 10.7%
Agija Elerte 13.8% 14.0% 13.7% 14.9% 12.3% 10.6% 9.0% 7.6% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.