Race 5A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Katie Nelson 15.3% 17.0% 15.1% 13.4% 12.4% 10.6% 8.3% 5.4% 2.5%
Olivia Sowa 22.2% 17.9% 16.9% 13.6% 11.1% 8.2% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4%
Arantxa Argibay 5.9% 6.2% 8.8% 7.2% 10.4% 10.8% 12.2% 15.7% 22.6%
Laura Smith 8.9% 9.9% 10.7% 11.5% 11.7% 11.4% 13.9% 11.7% 10.5%
Rowan Schanley 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 10.1% 9.7% 11.2% 12.2% 15.4% 17.5%
Marissa Tegeder 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 10.8% 12.6% 11.5% 12.9% 12.6% 9.7%
Agija Elerte 14.6% 15.3% 12.8% 12.7% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 7.0% 4.2%
Annika VanderHorst 7.3% 8.9% 10.3% 10.6% 11.1% 12.2% 12.1% 13.8% 13.7%
Marina Dreyfuss 8.1% 7.2% 7.0% 10.3% 9.8% 12.8% 11.8% 15.2% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.