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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.16+4.75vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+1.44vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.60vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.16-2.31vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75College of Charleston0.167.1%1st Place
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3.44North Carolina State University1.2623.2%1st Place
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3.99Florida State University0.7715.5%1st Place
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5.14University of Wisconsin0.369.7%1st Place
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6.14University of Miami-0.036.3%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.298.0%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University0.8213.1%1st Place
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5.69University of South Florida0.167.9%1st Place
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5.1Christopher Newport University-0.849.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Rowan Schanley | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% |
Olivia Sowa | 23.2% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
Katie Nelson | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
Marissa Tegeder | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
Arantxa Argibay | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 25.3% |
Annika VanderHorst | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% |
Agija Elerte | 13.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
Laura Smith | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.