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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.16+4.68vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.77+2.01vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+0.50vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.16+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.36-0.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.62vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.86vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.03-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68College of Charleston0.167.8%1st Place
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4.01Florida State University0.7715.9%1st Place
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3.5North Carolina State University1.2621.9%1st Place
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4.28Jacksonville University0.8214.2%1st Place
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5.8University of South Florida0.166.6%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin0.369.6%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.298.2%1st Place
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5.14Christopher Newport University-0.849.8%1st Place
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6.11University of Miami-0.036.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rowan Schanley | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 17.7% |
Katie Nelson | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Olivia Sowa | 21.9% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
Agija Elerte | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 18.3% |
Marissa Tegeder | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
Annika VanderHorst | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% |
Laura Smith | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
Arantxa Argibay | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.