Race 8A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marissa Tegeder 9.2% 10.2% 11.6% 11.7% 12.0% 12.7% 11.7% 11.9% 9.0%
Laura Smith 10.0% 8.2% 11.2% 11.1% 12.0% 12.2% 12.6% 11.5% 11.3%
Olivia Sowa 21.4% 18.5% 16.6% 13.4% 11.0% 8.6% 5.6% 3.6% 1.4%
Agija Elerte 14.8% 15.2% 12.8% 12.9% 12.4% 11.2% 9.8% 7.0% 3.8%
Annika VanderHorst 8.5% 9.0% 9.7% 10.6% 11.1% 12.0% 11.5% 14.1% 13.7%
Arantxa Argibay 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 8.8% 8.2% 10.3% 13.3% 15.8% 24.1%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 9.6% 10.2% 11.0% 14.6% 14.6% 17.8%
Rowan Schanley 8.2% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 9.8% 11.3% 12.5% 15.2% 16.1%
Katie Nelson 14.6% 16.4% 14.9% 12.7% 13.2% 10.7% 8.4% 6.3% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.