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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.16+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+3.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.82+1.22vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.06vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.77-1.86vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26-3.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.58vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.16-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65College of Charleston0.168.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Wisconsin0.368.6%1st Place
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4.22Jacksonville University0.8214.8%1st Place
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5.2Christopher Newport University-0.849.5%1st Place
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6.06University of Miami-0.036.5%1st Place
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4.14Florida State University0.7714.1%1st Place
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3.37North Carolina State University1.2623.2%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.299.0%1st Place
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5.77University of South Florida0.166.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Rowan Schanley | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 16.5% |
Marissa Tegeder | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% |
Agija Elerte | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
Laura Smith | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
Arantxa Argibay | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 22.6% |
Katie Nelson | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
Olivia Sowa | 23.2% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.