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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.41vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.77+2.02vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.82+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.16+1.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.42vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.03-1.77vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston0.16-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41North Carolina State University1.2622.2%1st Place
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4.02Florida State University0.7716.4%1st Place
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4.24Jacksonville University0.8214.5%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida0.167.0%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.9%1st Place
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5.13Christopher Newport University-0.849.8%1st Place
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5.13University of Wisconsin0.369.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Miami-0.036.0%1st Place
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5.69College of Charleston0.166.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Olivia Sowa | 22.2% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Katie Nelson | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
Agija Elerte | 14.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 16.0% |
Annika VanderHorst | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% |
Laura Smith | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% |
Marissa Tegeder | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
Arantxa Argibay | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 26.1% |
Rowan Schanley | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.