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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+3.31vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.17+3.78vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+4.98vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+1.54vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70-0.18vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+4.07vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+1.87vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-3.25vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.12-2.21vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.08+0.05vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.67+3.94vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.87-5.06vs Predicted
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14Auburn University0.12-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34-5.06vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.46-3.00vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.01-2.67vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-1.80-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93College of Charleston2.4920.5%1st Place
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5.31University of Miami2.3211.8%1st Place
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6.78Eckerd College1.177.2%1st Place
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8.98Rollins College0.413.8%1st Place
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6.54University of South Florida1.608.7%1st Place
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5.82Jacksonville University1.7011.3%1st Place
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11.07The Citadel0.192.3%1st Place
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9.87Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.6%1st Place
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5.75Florida State University1.6910.1%1st Place
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7.79North Carolina State University1.125.2%1st Place
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11.05Wake Forest University0.082.2%1st Place
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15.94University of Central Florida-1.670.1%1st Place
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7.94Clemson University0.875.0%1st Place
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10.76Auburn University0.122.7%1st Place
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9.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.343.2%1st Place
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13.0University of North Carolina-0.461.1%1st Place
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14.33Duke University-1.010.9%1st Place
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16.21University of South Carolina-1.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 20.5% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Foley | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 27.3% | 36.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Simpson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| May Proctor | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 5.0% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 10.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 23.8% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.