Race 11A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Olivia Sowa 22.8% 18.2% 16.8% 13.4% 11.6% 8.2% 4.9% 3.2% 1.0%
Agija Elerte 15.2% 14.3% 12.7% 13.0% 14.3% 10.2% 9.3% 7.0% 4.0%
Marissa Tegeder 8.8% 10.8% 10.4% 10.7% 12.5% 13.2% 11.8% 10.7% 11.1%
Laura Smith 8.7% 10.7% 9.8% 10.8% 11.6% 12.2% 13.0% 13.0% 10.2%
Katie Nelson 15.8% 15.1% 17.4% 12.6% 11.1% 11.2% 8.2% 5.9% 2.8%
Rowan Schanley 6.4% 7.3% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 12.2% 12.8% 16.8% 15.9%
Annika VanderHorst 9.0% 9.0% 9.6% 10.0% 11.4% 11.9% 13.1% 13.6% 12.4%
Arantxa Argibay 7.0% 6.4% 7.1% 9.2% 7.4% 10.7% 13.0% 15.8% 23.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.2% 8.1% 7.8% 10.5% 10.1% 10.2% 13.9% 14.0% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.