← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.20+2.57vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.47+3.15vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.95vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.33+0.72vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College2.63-0.90vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.09vs Predicted
-
8Washington College1.92-1.43vs Predicted
-
9University of Rochester0.69+0.85vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester0.69-0.15vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University1.06-1.86vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University0.88-2.37vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.74-5.64vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University1.02-4.79vs Predicted
-
15University of Delaware-1.05-2.10vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary-0.32-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.57Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
-
5.15Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
-
3.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
-
5.72Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.1SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
-
4.91U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.57Washington College1.920.1%1st Place
-
9.85University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.85University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.14Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.63Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
-
7.36Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.21Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
-
12.9University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
-
11.93William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel LOCHNER | 22.9% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 12.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 60.4% | 0.0% |
| Efe Brock | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 34.3% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.