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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.16+3.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.34vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26-0.50vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77-1.01vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston0.16-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36-1.93vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.82-3.81vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.03-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Christopher Newport University-0.849.6%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida0.167.3%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.299.4%1st Place
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3.5North Carolina State University1.2621.3%1st Place
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3.99Florida State University0.7716.2%1st Place
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5.78College of Charleston0.167.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Wisconsin0.369.4%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University0.8214.3%1st Place
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6.15University of Miami-0.035.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Laura Smith | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.9% |
Olivia Sowa | 21.3% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Katie Nelson | 16.2% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
Rowan Schanley | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 18.3% |
Marissa Tegeder | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
Agija Elerte | 14.3% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
Arantxa Argibay | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.