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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.77vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.33+3.49vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+0.56vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.92+2.83vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.47+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.69+4.09vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.32+4.77vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.00vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.63-4.99vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.88-1.42vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.02-2.73vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.74-5.74vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.69-3.91vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.06-6.05vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.05-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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5.49Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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3.56Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.83Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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11.77William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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5.01SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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9.58Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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9.27Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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8.95Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Timmins | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 22.5% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Efe Brock | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 31.1% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 18.5% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 19.0% | 60.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.