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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.49vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.84+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.16+2.70vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36+1.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.37vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.77-1.98vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82-2.74vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.03-1.91vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston0.16-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49North Carolina State University1.2621.6%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University-0.848.8%1st Place
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5.7University of South Florida0.168.5%1st Place
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5.09University of Wisconsin0.368.3%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.299.4%1st Place
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4.02Florida State University0.7716.0%1st Place
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4.26Jacksonville University0.8214.9%1st Place
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6.09University of Miami-0.036.6%1st Place
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5.78College of Charleston0.165.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Olivia Sowa | 21.6% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
Laura Smith | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% |
Marissa Tegeder | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.3% |
Annika VanderHorst | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% |
Katie Nelson | 16.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
Agija Elerte | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
Arantxa Argibay | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 24.9% |
Rowan Schanley | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.