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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.77+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+3.10vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.16-0.19vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26-3.54vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.16-2.29vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.82-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Florida State University0.7717.8%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin0.368.9%1st Place
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5.19Christopher Newport University-0.849.4%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.299.5%1st Place
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6.17University of Miami-0.036.0%1st Place
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5.81University of South Florida0.166.9%1st Place
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3.46North Carolina State University1.2620.3%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston0.167.3%1st Place
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4.25Jacksonville University0.8213.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Katie Nelson | 17.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
Marissa Tegeder | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% |
Laura Smith | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
Annika VanderHorst | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
Arantxa Argibay | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 24.1% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 18.7% |
Olivia Sowa | 20.3% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
Rowan Schanley | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
Agija Elerte | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.