Race 15A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Olivia Sowa 21.5% 18.0% 16.0% 13.9% 11.6% 8.5% 6.8% 3.0% 0.9%
Rowan Schanley 8.1% 8.3% 10.5% 8.1% 9.7% 12.6% 11.8% 14.8% 16.2%
Annika VanderHorst 8.2% 9.4% 9.8% 9.8% 11.0% 12.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.9%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.2% 7.5% 7.5% 10.2% 10.7% 11.2% 13.7% 14.6% 17.2%
Katie Nelson 16.8% 15.8% 14.0% 14.4% 13.0% 9.0% 8.6% 5.8% 2.5%
Agija Elerte 12.8% 14.1% 13.9% 14.6% 11.4% 11.5% 8.8% 8.1% 5.0%
Laura Smith 8.8% 10.5% 10.1% 11.8% 11.2% 11.5% 12.2% 13.4% 10.7%
Arantxa Argibay 5.7% 7.2% 6.8% 7.8% 8.3% 11.0% 12.2% 17.3% 23.8%
Marissa Tegeder 11.1% 9.0% 11.4% 9.3% 13.2% 12.8% 13.1% 10.1% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.