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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester0.69+7.79vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+0.61vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.33+1.76vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.47-0.59vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.74+0.42vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63-3.23vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.88+0.44vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.32+2.00vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-6.98vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.92-5.11vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.69-3.21vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.02-4.77vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.06-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.05-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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3.61Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.76Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.41Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.77SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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9.44Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.0William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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6.89Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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9.23Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.96Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Timmins | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 21.8% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Efe Brock | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 34.9% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 17.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 20.0% | 59.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.