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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+1.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.80+2.90vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.76+2.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.42vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University1.44-1.36vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.26-1.65vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.18-2.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-3.79vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Harvard University2.4533.7%1st Place
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5.36Boston University1.018.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Vermont0.806.3%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College0.765.0%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.9%1st Place
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4.64Texas A&M University1.4410.5%1st Place
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5.35Northeastern University1.267.5%1st Place
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5.31Bowdoin College1.188.1%1st Place
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5.21Tufts University1.519.8%1st Place
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8.44McGill University-0.362.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robby Meek | 33.7% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Nathan Selian | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 7.6% |
Christine Reimer | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
Jack Derry | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
Michael Morse | 10.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
Sam Monaghan | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
Ethan Danielson | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
Connor Rosow | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.