Race 12B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Connor Timmins 13.0% 13.0% 12.9% 10.8% 11.7% 12.0% 8.5% 7.6% 4.8% 2.8% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 23.0% 17.3% 17.1% 13.7% 11.7% 6.5% 4.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 5.6% 7.1% 6.5% 8.5% 7.1% 8.1% 11.0% 12.6% 11.3% 10.7% 6.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Merritt Moran 7.3% 9.8% 8.9% 10.9% 9.8% 12.3% 11.2% 9.9% 8.5% 6.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 15.2% 15.8% 15.9% 13.2% 12.2% 8.9% 8.3% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Keil 4.4% 4.9% 5.2% 7.1% 6.2% 8.0% 12.1% 11.8% 11.1% 11.5% 8.9% 6.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 12.5% 12.5% 12.9% 11.1% 12.8% 10.2% 9.7% 7.8% 5.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 1.8% 4.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.9% 8.3% 10.9% 16.0% 18.1% 14.6% 5.7% 0.0%
Efe Brock 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 2.3% 2.9% 6.1% 7.1% 13.9% 34.4% 26.4% 0.0%
Adam Keally 9.4% 9.0% 10.4% 12.1% 11.1% 12.8% 10.5% 9.5% 6.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucy Cobbs 1.6% 2.5% 1.4% 2.8% 3.1% 5.4% 4.9% 7.2% 10.8% 12.7% 16.1% 15.2% 11.9% 4.4% 0.0%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 4.6% 5.4% 6.7% 8.3% 12.3% 13.2% 14.9% 14.6% 7.8% 2.2% 0.0%
John Koehler 3.0% 2.3% 2.2% 4.2% 3.7% 4.5% 6.3% 9.2% 10.8% 12.9% 16.1% 14.9% 7.4% 2.5% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 1.8% 4.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.9% 8.3% 10.9% 16.0% 18.1% 14.6% 5.7% 0.0%
Caitlin McEwen 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 4.6% 8.1% 20.5% 58.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.