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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 8.2% 10.3% 9.9% 10.9% 11.0% 10.8% 12.8% 11.8% 9.4% 4.8%
Robby Meek 30.4% 23.9% 18.4% 10.8% 8.1% 4.4% 2.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Jack Derry 9.1% 9.6% 9.8% 9.8% 10.9% 11.8% 11.0% 13.2% 10.3% 4.5%
Sam Monaghan 8.3% 9.9% 10.0% 12.0% 11.2% 11.1% 12.7% 10.8% 9.3% 4.7%
Christine Reimer 4.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 13.2% 20.2% 17.0%
Connor Rosow 8.8% 9.7% 10.6% 10.5% 11.9% 11.6% 11.9% 10.0% 9.4% 5.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.2% 7.5% 8.7% 10.5% 10.1% 12.0% 10.9% 12.3% 13.9% 6.8%
Michael Morse 11.3% 12.9% 13.0% 12.2% 12.8% 11.2% 10.4% 8.2% 6.0% 2.1%
Ethan Danielson 9.7% 8.3% 10.9% 12.7% 11.3% 13.3% 12.7% 10.1% 7.5% 3.5%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 8.9% 13.7% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.