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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+4.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+0.73vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.43vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26+1.34vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.76+1.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.80-1.19vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.44-3.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.18-3.81vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Boston University1.018.2%1st Place
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2.73Harvard University2.4530.4%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.099.1%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University1.268.3%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College0.764.8%1st Place
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5.36Tufts University1.518.8%1st Place
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5.81University of Vermont0.807.2%1st Place
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4.69Texas A&M University1.4411.3%1st Place
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5.19Bowdoin College1.189.7%1st Place
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8.29McGill University-0.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nathan Selian | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
Robby Meek | 30.4% | 23.9% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Jack Derry | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
Sam Monaghan | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
Christine Reimer | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 17.0% |
Connor Rosow | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 6.8% |
Michael Morse | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
Ethan Danielson | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.