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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.93vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+0.52vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.63+0.82vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.33+0.41vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.74+0.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47-1.93vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.92-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.69-0.72vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.02-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.69-2.72vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.32-2.12vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.06-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.85-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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3.52Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.82SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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5.41Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.9Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.07Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.43Washington College1.920.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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8.58Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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10.88William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.65Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Delaware-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Timmins | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 20.7% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Efe Brock | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 51.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 10.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Kohlhafer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 92.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.