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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 8.1% 9.2% 10.0% 10.8% 11.8% 13.1% 12.1% 12.0% 8.8% 4.2%
Jack Derry 7.4% 8.8% 10.8% 12.5% 12.3% 10.1% 11.9% 11.2% 10.3% 4.5%
Robby Meek 31.9% 23.5% 17.3% 11.3% 7.5% 4.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 8.4% 8.9% 10.5% 11.9% 10.9% 12.5% 11.5% 11.3% 8.8% 5.3%
Connor Rosow 8.6% 10.6% 11.2% 9.5% 11.0% 13.1% 11.7% 9.3% 10.1% 4.9%
Ethan Danielson 9.8% 9.8% 10.7% 12.4% 12.7% 10.9% 11.6% 10.1% 8.2% 3.9%
Christine Reimer 4.9% 5.1% 6.1% 5.8% 7.7% 9.3% 11.7% 15.3% 19.2% 14.9%
Michael Morse 12.8% 13.7% 12.2% 13.2% 12.1% 10.9% 9.8% 7.2% 6.2% 1.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.1% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 10.0% 10.8% 11.8% 13.8% 13.4% 8.6%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 8.5% 14.7% 51.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.