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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+4.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.42vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.45-0.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26+1.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+0.31vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.18-0.86vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.76-0.23vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.44-3.43vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.80-3.02vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Boston University1.018.1%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.097.4%1st Place
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2.7Harvard University2.4531.9%1st Place
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5.38Northeastern University1.268.4%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University1.518.6%1st Place
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5.14Bowdoin College1.189.8%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College0.764.9%1st Place
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4.57Texas A&M University1.4412.8%1st Place
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5.98University of Vermont0.806.1%1st Place
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8.35McGill University-0.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nathan Selian | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
Jack Derry | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
Robby Meek | 31.9% | 23.5% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Sam Monaghan | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
Connor Rosow | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
Ethan Danielson | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
Christine Reimer | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 14.9% |
Michael Morse | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.