Race 14B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Timmins 12.6% 11.7% 13.2% 12.1% 11.7% 12.6% 10.9% 6.5% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 10.5% 13.2% 11.8% 12.8% 13.6% 11.4% 7.9% 8.1% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 16.8% 17.2% 16.3% 12.2% 11.4% 11.6% 6.7% 4.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 10.3% 8.9% 10.7% 13.2% 11.2% 11.3% 11.7% 9.8% 7.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 22.1% 19.0% 15.5% 12.7% 11.1% 8.1% 6.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 9.1% 10.9% 11.0% 13.9% 10.9% 10.1% 5.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Keil 6.0% 6.1% 5.4% 7.3% 7.0% 7.6% 11.3% 13.6% 13.2% 12.6% 8.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.0% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 4.6% 4.8% 7.0% 10.0% 15.1% 18.7% 18.2% 8.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Merritt Moran 9.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.0% 11.7% 11.5% 11.4% 10.8% 7.9% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 2.2% 3.5% 3.2% 5.8% 7.3% 10.3% 17.6% 25.2% 17.4% 0.9% 0.0%
John Koehler 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 4.7% 3.9% 5.6% 8.1% 9.4% 15.3% 16.9% 19.0% 8.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Efe Brock 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 3.5% 4.4% 6.7% 16.4% 56.2% 5.7% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 2.2% 3.5% 3.2% 5.8% 7.3% 10.3% 17.6% 25.2% 17.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Christopher Kohlhafer 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 5.3% 92.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.