Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robby Meek 32.8% 22.6% 17.9% 11.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 9.2% 9.5% 10.5% 11.6% 11.9% 11.5% 10.9% 11.7% 8.4% 4.9%
Christine Reimer 4.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 13.6% 20.2% 15.4%
Nathan Selian 8.2% 10.2% 10.0% 10.7% 11.7% 11.9% 12.6% 10.8% 9.1% 4.8%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 10.4% 10.3% 11.1% 11.6% 12.1% 12.8% 8.0%
Jack Derry 7.2% 9.3% 10.3% 9.0% 11.7% 12.1% 12.7% 12.6% 10.2% 4.9%
Ethan Danielson 9.4% 10.6% 10.7% 11.5% 11.3% 11.8% 11.6% 10.4% 8.6% 4.0%
Connor Rosow 8.5% 10.4% 10.6% 11.9% 10.4% 11.4% 11.7% 11.2% 9.5% 4.3%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.6% 8.5% 15.2% 51.6%
Michael Morse 11.7% 12.1% 12.3% 12.9% 13.0% 11.8% 10.7% 7.9% 5.6% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.