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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 8.2% 11.0% 9.6% 11.3% 11.7% 11.9% 10.9% 10.3% 10.0% 5.1%
Robby Meek 31.2% 23.3% 17.5% 11.6% 7.9% 4.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 8.7% 9.8% 11.9% 11.6% 10.5% 12.7% 11.4% 10.1% 9.0% 4.3%
Ethan Danielson 9.7% 9.7% 10.1% 11.4% 11.8% 12.6% 12.2% 9.8% 9.2% 3.9%
Connor Rosow 9.1% 10.9% 10.0% 9.1% 11.4% 11.9% 13.2% 11.5% 8.8% 4.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.2% 7.0% 8.2% 9.2% 10.9% 10.4% 11.7% 13.2% 13.7% 8.5%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 8.8% 14.6% 50.6%
Michael Morse 11.1% 11.3% 13.9% 13.6% 13.0% 10.8% 10.7% 8.1% 5.5% 2.2%
Jack Derry 8.5% 9.2% 10.5% 10.9% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 13.2% 10.2% 5.1%
Christine Reimer 4.6% 5.3% 5.9% 8.1% 8.1% 8.8% 10.4% 13.7% 18.9% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.