Race 15B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mackenzie Needham 6.8% 6.4% 7.9% 8.6% 9.0% 10.3% 9.8% 11.9% 13.2% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 12.0% 14.6% 11.4% 12.6% 12.4% 12.0% 9.1% 6.6% 5.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 10.3% 12.7% 12.7% 12.6% 10.0% 11.7% 8.8% 10.0% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 14.2% 13.4% 12.7% 12.7% 12.7% 9.5% 9.7% 7.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 13.2% 10.9% 11.0% 12.5% 9.9% 10.6% 12.1% 8.2% 6.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 19.1% 18.6% 17.3% 10.8% 11.6% 7.8% 6.2% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 2.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.5% 9.4% 16.3% 26.9% 16.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Merritt Moran 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 11.5% 11.0% 11.4% 11.6% 10.4% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Koehler 2.8% 3.8% 3.0% 3.4% 4.7% 4.2% 7.6% 7.9% 11.9% 19.4% 20.9% 9.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Efe Brock 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.9% 8.5% 15.1% 53.7% 6.5% 0.0%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.6% 2.3% 3.9% 4.1% 5.5% 7.1% 7.3% 9.1% 14.4% 17.0% 17.8% 8.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Colin Keil 5.3% 4.4% 6.7% 6.7% 8.3% 8.5% 10.3% 13.5% 14.4% 11.8% 7.2% 2.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 2.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.5% 9.4% 16.3% 26.9% 16.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Christopher Kohlhafer 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 5.9% 91.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.