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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+4.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+0.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+2.24vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.18+1.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.80-0.06vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.36+1.34vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.44-3.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.55vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.76-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston University1.018.2%1st Place
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2.73Harvard University2.4531.2%1st Place
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5.24Northeastern University1.268.7%1st Place
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5.23Bowdoin College1.189.7%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University1.519.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Vermont0.807.2%1st Place
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8.34McGill University-0.361.7%1st Place
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4.7Texas A&M University1.4411.1%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.5%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College0.764.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nathan Selian | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
Robby Meek | 31.2% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Sam Monaghan | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
Ethan Danielson | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
Connor Rosow | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 8.5% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 50.6% |
Michael Morse | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Jack Derry | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
Christine Reimer | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.