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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+0.66vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.49+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.51-2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.36-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Washington2.870.5%1st Place
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2.77Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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1.98University of Oregon2.510.3%1st Place
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3.59University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 51.0% | 33.9% | 12.9% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Nelson | 12.2% | 19.4% | 47.7% | 20.7% |
| Philip Gordon | 33.4% | 40.3% | 21.6% | 4.7% |
| David Eva | 3.4% | 6.4% | 17.8% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.