← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University1.69+4.65vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.60+4.59vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.49+1.12vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.32+1.43vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.17+2.03vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University2.10-1.27vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.87+1.21vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel0.19+2.97vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+1.08vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University1.12-2.25vs Predicted
-
11Auburn University0.12-0.22vs Predicted
-
12Wake Forest University0.08-0.96vs Predicted
-
13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-2.70vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College0.41-5.08vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-0.46-1.96vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-1.67-0.08vs Predicted
-
17Duke University-1.01-2.83vs Predicted
-
18University of South Carolina-1.80-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65Florida State University1.6910.8%1st Place
-
6.59University of South Florida1.608.7%1st Place
-
4.12College of Charleston2.4918.2%1st Place
-
5.43University of Miami2.3212.5%1st Place
-
7.03Eckerd College1.176.6%1st Place
-
4.73Jacksonville University2.1014.9%1st Place
-
8.21Clemson University0.874.3%1st Place
-
10.97The Citadel0.192.3%1st Place
-
10.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.342.7%1st Place
-
7.75North Carolina State University1.125.6%1st Place
-
10.78Auburn University0.121.9%1st Place
-
11.04Wake Forest University0.082.4%1st Place
-
10.3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.2%1st Place
-
8.92Rollins College0.414.4%1st Place
-
13.04University of North Carolina-0.461.2%1st Place
-
15.92University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
-
14.17Duke University-1.010.4%1st Place
-
16.26University of South Carolina-1.800.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 18.2% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Simpson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 4.3% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 28.0% | 34.7% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 11.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 22.3% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.