Race 16B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jacob Spracher 12.6% 9.5% 13.9% 11.1% 12.2% 11.8% 9.0% 9.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 12.7% 13.2% 11.9% 14.1% 11.4% 11.2% 8.7% 7.8% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 10.3% 11.1% 12.0% 12.9% 11.7% 11.4% 10.2% 8.1% 7.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 19.7% 17.0% 16.0% 12.8% 11.8% 9.0% 6.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 14.8% 14.6% 12.6% 10.2% 12.1% 11.4% 11.0% 6.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Merritt Moran 9.5% 12.5% 10.0% 11.3% 11.1% 11.8% 9.3% 10.0% 7.2% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 7.7% 7.3% 7.2% 9.0% 8.6% 9.4% 11.7% 12.6% 10.4% 9.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.8% 4.1% 2.7% 4.9% 3.3% 4.7% 8.1% 10.1% 14.7% 17.3% 18.5% 8.7% 0.1% 0.0%
John Koehler 2.3% 3.0% 3.9% 4.3% 3.7% 4.6% 7.9% 7.8% 14.3% 17.2% 20.4% 9.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.8% 2.6% 3.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.8% 5.1% 7.6% 11.6% 17.6% 23.2% 17.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.8% 2.6% 3.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.8% 5.1% 7.6% 11.6% 17.6% 23.2% 17.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Efe Brock 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 5.4% 7.5% 17.3% 52.7% 6.0% 0.0%
Colin Keil 5.2% 4.2% 6.4% 6.6% 9.4% 8.9% 9.8% 13.0% 12.2% 13.5% 7.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Kohlhafer 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 5.0% 92.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.