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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+4.32vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+3.40vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.45-0.31vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.76+2.72vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.18+0.22vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.26-0.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.80-2.10vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.36-0.59vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University1.44-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Tufts University1.519.7%1st Place
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5.4Boston University1.018.8%1st Place
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2.69Harvard University2.4531.6%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College0.764.9%1st Place
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5.22Bowdoin College1.189.2%1st Place
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5.37Northeastern University1.267.2%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.7%1st Place
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5.9University of Vermont0.805.9%1st Place
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8.41McGill University-0.361.7%1st Place
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4.55Texas A&M University1.4412.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor Rosow | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
Robby Meek | 31.6% | 23.7% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Christine Reimer | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 14.8% |
Ethan Danielson | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
Sam Monaghan | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
Jack Derry | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 8.2% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 52.7% |
Michael Morse | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.