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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+1.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.80+2.89vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26+1.28vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.01+0.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-0.68vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.36+1.39vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76-1.08vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University1.44-4.31vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.18-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Harvard University2.4531.6%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.099.3%1st Place
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5.89University of Vermont0.806.6%1st Place
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5.28Northeastern University1.268.6%1st Place
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5.24Boston University1.019.3%1st Place
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5.32Tufts University1.518.6%1st Place
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8.39McGill University-0.361.6%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College0.764.8%1st Place
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4.69Texas A&M University1.4411.4%1st Place
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5.19Bowdoin College1.188.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robby Meek | 31.6% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Jack Derry | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 4.4% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.2% |
Sam Monaghan | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
Nathan Selian | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
Connor Rosow | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 51.5% |
Christine Reimer | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
Michael Morse | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
Ethan Danielson | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.