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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.80+3.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.18+2.26vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26+1.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-0.71vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.76-0.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.01-2.65vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University1.44-4.30vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Harvard University2.4535.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Vermont0.806.0%1st Place
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5.26Bowdoin College1.188.2%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University1.267.8%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.096.9%1st Place
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5.29Tufts University1.5110.0%1st Place
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6.74Bowdoin College0.764.5%1st Place
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5.35Boston University1.018.8%1st Place
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4.7Texas A&M University1.4410.7%1st Place
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8.25McGill University-0.362.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robby Meek | 35.2% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
Ethan Danielson | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
Sam Monaghan | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
Jack Derry | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
Connor Rosow | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
Christine Reimer | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 17.1% |
Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
Michael Morse | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.