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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Derry 8.6% 9.5% 10.4% 10.9% 11.3% 13.6% 11.7% 10.0% 9.4% 4.5%
Robby Meek 31.9% 23.8% 18.5% 10.9% 7.2% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Connor Rosow 7.3% 10.3% 10.2% 11.5% 12.1% 11.5% 11.8% 12.2% 8.9% 4.2%
Nathan Selian 10.4% 8.6% 9.9% 11.1% 12.1% 10.9% 10.9% 11.3% 10.2% 4.5%
Michael Morse 12.5% 12.2% 13.6% 12.9% 12.3% 11.7% 10.3% 6.9% 5.1% 2.6%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.8% 11.2% 11.9% 13.8% 13.4% 6.8%
Sam Monaghan 8.2% 9.6% 10.1% 10.2% 12.2% 12.2% 11.8% 12.0% 10.0% 3.9%
Ethan Danielson 7.5% 10.3% 11.2% 13.0% 11.7% 10.9% 12.4% 11.5% 8.3% 3.2%
Christine Reimer 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 7.3% 8.0% 9.8% 11.0% 13.1% 19.4% 16.8%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.6% 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 4.0% 5.6% 8.5% 15.2% 53.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.