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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+4.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+0.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+2.37vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+1.32vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University1.44-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.80-0.16vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.26-1.61vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.18-2.76vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.76-2.18vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.6%1st Place
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2.66Harvard University2.4531.9%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University1.517.3%1st Place
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5.32Boston University1.0110.4%1st Place
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4.6Texas A&M University1.4412.5%1st Place
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5.84University of Vermont0.807.3%1st Place
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5.39Northeastern University1.268.2%1st Place
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5.24Bowdoin College1.187.5%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College0.764.7%1st Place
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8.46McGill University-0.361.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Derry | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
Robby Meek | 31.9% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Connor Rosow | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
Nathan Selian | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
Michael Morse | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
Sam Monaghan | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
Ethan Danielson | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
Christine Reimer | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.