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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Monaghan 8.0% 8.8% 10.6% 12.3% 10.9% 12.2% 11.8% 11.9% 9.6% 3.9%
Robby Meek 29.5% 22.7% 19.1% 12.5% 8.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 8.6% 8.9% 10.0% 11.9% 10.7% 12.2% 11.3% 12.5% 9.5% 4.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.0% 8.7% 8.4% 10.5% 9.2% 11.4% 11.6% 12.4% 13.1% 7.7%
Christine Reimer 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 8.6% 8.9% 11.3% 14.1% 19.2% 15.8%
Ethan Danielson 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 10.3% 12.2% 11.8% 11.8% 10.7% 8.2% 4.1%
Connor Rosow 8.8% 11.0% 10.6% 9.6% 12.3% 13.8% 10.6% 11.3% 8.2% 3.9%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 6.8% 7.5% 15.2% 53.8%
Jack Derry 9.2% 10.7% 8.8% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 12.8% 10.5% 10.5% 4.3%
Michael Morse 13.0% 11.0% 14.0% 12.8% 12.8% 10.2% 10.0% 8.3% 6.0% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.