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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+4.38vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+0.76vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.80+1.81vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.76+1.77vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.18-0.81vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51-1.77vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36+0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.65vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University1.44-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Northeastern University1.268.0%1st Place
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2.76Harvard University2.4529.5%1st Place
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5.4Boston University1.018.6%1st Place
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5.81University of Vermont0.807.0%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College0.764.5%1st Place
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5.19Bowdoin College1.189.7%1st Place
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5.23Tufts University1.518.8%1st Place
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8.49McGill University-0.361.7%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.099.2%1st Place
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4.63Texas A&M University1.4413.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sam Monaghan | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
Robby Meek | 29.5% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Nathan Selian | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
Christine Reimer | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 15.8% |
Ethan Danielson | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
Connor Rosow | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 53.8% |
Jack Derry | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
Michael Morse | 13.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.