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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.82vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.13+2.21vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.73+1.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+2.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18-1.29vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.39-2.38vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.53+0.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-1.20+0.61vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.10-2.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.56-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.1%1st Place
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4.21Bowdoin College1.1314.2%1st Place
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4.88Bowdoin College0.7312.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University0.106.2%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University1.1818.9%1st Place
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3.62Northeastern University1.3918.9%1st Place
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7.56McGill University-0.533.0%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University-1.200.9%1st Place
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6.28Texas A&M University0.105.8%1st Place
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5.22University of Vermont0.569.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter McGonagle | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
Rebecca Schill | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
Shea McGrath | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 7.5% |
Adrien Bellanger | 18.9% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Everett Nash | 18.9% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Tessa Hason | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 25.1% | 24.1% |
James Bergstrom | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 53.8% |
Ryan Ingram | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 7.2% |
Gavin Sanborn | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.