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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter McGonagle 11.1% 11.8% 10.9% 13.5% 12.3% 12.3% 10.6% 9.2% 6.6% 1.8%
Rebecca Schill 14.2% 15.2% 13.4% 14.1% 11.6% 12.4% 9.5% 5.8% 3.4% 0.4%
Shea McGrath 12.1% 10.3% 11.3% 10.6% 13.0% 12.1% 12.4% 10.2% 6.0% 1.8%
Renato Korzinek 6.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 9.4% 10.0% 13.0% 16.0% 14.6% 7.5%
Adrien Bellanger 18.9% 17.4% 14.9% 15.0% 11.1% 10.4% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Everett Nash 18.9% 18.4% 16.6% 14.0% 11.3% 9.7% 5.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Tessa Hason 3.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.9% 5.6% 5.6% 10.4% 14.1% 25.1% 24.1%
James Bergstrom 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 4.0% 4.0% 5.8% 8.0% 17.0% 53.8%
Ryan Ingram 5.8% 5.9% 6.9% 7.7% 9.3% 10.3% 13.2% 17.2% 16.4% 7.2%
Gavin Sanborn 9.2% 8.8% 11.6% 10.0% 12.5% 13.2% 12.5% 12.4% 7.5% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.