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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.86vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.13+2.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+0.67vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.73+0.94vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.39-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56-0.75vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.10-0.86vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.10-1.70vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-1.20-0.30vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.53-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.0%1st Place
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4.09Bowdoin College1.1315.4%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.1819.3%1st Place
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4.94Bowdoin College0.739.1%1st Place
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3.65Northeastern University1.3919.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Vermont0.568.9%1st Place
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6.14Boston University0.106.5%1st Place
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6.3Texas A&M University0.106.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University-1.201.2%1st Place
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7.4McGill University-0.533.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter McGonagle | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
Rebecca Schill | 15.4% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Adrien Bellanger | 19.3% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Shea McGrath | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Everett Nash | 19.1% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Gavin Sanborn | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 8.0% |
Ryan Ingram | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 8.1% |
James Bergstrom | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 56.2% |
Tessa Hason | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 25.0% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.