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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.65vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.13+2.09vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.73+1.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.56+0.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18-2.25vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.10-0.84vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.53-0.51vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.10-2.65vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-1.20-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Northeastern University1.3919.3%1st Place
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4.09Bowdoin College1.1315.8%1st Place
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4.91Bowdoin College0.7310.7%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0810.8%1st Place
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5.2University of Vermont0.569.2%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.1818.6%1st Place
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6.16Boston University0.106.2%1st Place
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7.49McGill University-0.532.8%1st Place
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6.35Texas A&M University0.105.0%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University-1.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Nash | 19.3% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Rebecca Schill | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Shea McGrath | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
Peter McGonagle | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Gavin Sanborn | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
Adrien Bellanger | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 8.3% |
Tessa Hason | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 26.5% | 22.9% |
Ryan Ingram | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 7.5% |
James Bergstrom | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.