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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Everett Nash 19.3% 17.4% 16.3% 14.8% 11.3% 8.8% 5.9% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Rebecca Schill 15.8% 15.8% 14.3% 12.3% 12.8% 10.5% 9.2% 5.9% 2.1% 1.1%
Shea McGrath 10.7% 11.0% 11.6% 11.7% 13.2% 11.3% 11.5% 10.9% 6.3% 1.8%
Peter McGonagle 10.8% 10.5% 11.9% 12.6% 13.4% 12.4% 11.8% 9.8% 5.1% 1.7%
Gavin Sanborn 9.2% 9.2% 10.7% 11.8% 10.9% 13.8% 12.7% 11.5% 7.8% 2.5%
Adrien Bellanger 18.6% 17.1% 15.4% 13.7% 11.6% 10.1% 7.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Renato Korzinek 6.2% 7.2% 6.6% 7.9% 9.6% 10.8% 13.3% 15.9% 14.2% 8.3%
Tessa Hason 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 6.1% 9.4% 13.3% 26.5% 22.9%
Ryan Ingram 5.0% 6.5% 6.3% 7.8% 8.3% 11.8% 13.1% 16.5% 17.3% 7.5%
James Bergstrom 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.3% 9.0% 17.0% 53.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.