Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter McGonagle 10.1% 11.8% 12.2% 12.4% 11.2% 13.2% 11.5% 10.3% 5.9% 1.3%
Gavin Sanborn 9.7% 11.1% 11.2% 11.1% 11.8% 12.8% 12.7% 10.3% 7.0% 2.2%
Shea McGrath 11.5% 10.7% 10.7% 11.3% 11.4% 12.6% 12.8% 11.2% 5.8% 2.2%
Everett Nash 19.4% 18.2% 15.8% 14.1% 12.6% 8.2% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Rebecca Schill 15.2% 14.6% 14.3% 12.3% 13.6% 12.4% 8.3% 6.2% 2.1% 1.0%
Adrien Bellanger 17.2% 16.2% 16.4% 15.3% 13.3% 9.3% 7.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Tessa Hason 2.9% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 5.4% 5.8% 9.8% 13.4% 26.8% 23.5%
Renato Korzinek 6.8% 6.2% 6.6% 7.0% 9.3% 10.8% 12.8% 17.2% 15.3% 8.0%
James Bergstrom 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 5.5% 7.8% 17.9% 53.4%
Ryan Ingram 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 9.0% 7.4% 11.0% 13.7% 16.3% 16.3% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.