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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrien Bellanger 17.9% 16.7% 14.8% 14.8% 11.9% 10.4% 7.0% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Shea McGrath 10.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.4% 11.7% 11.8% 11.9% 11.4% 7.4% 1.5%
Renato Korzinek 6.2% 7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 9.0% 10.1% 13.5% 15.0% 15.4% 7.0%
Peter McGonagle 11.1% 11.7% 11.1% 12.5% 13.1% 11.8% 11.2% 8.9% 6.6% 2.0%
Rebecca Schill 15.8% 14.6% 14.3% 12.8% 11.8% 10.8% 10.4% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Everett Nash 18.6% 17.8% 16.0% 14.4% 12.2% 9.6% 5.8% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Gavin Sanborn 8.9% 9.9% 11.2% 9.8% 11.1% 13.1% 12.4% 13.2% 7.8% 2.7%
Ryan Ingram 6.2% 5.9% 7.4% 8.8% 10.5% 11.0% 12.6% 14.9% 15.8% 6.9%
Tessa Hason 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 4.2% 5.4% 7.4% 10.2% 13.4% 24.8% 24.4%
James Bergstrom 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 8.7% 16.8% 53.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.