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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+2.81vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.73+2.98vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.10+3.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+0.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13-0.84vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.39-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.56-1.76vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.10-1.88vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.53-1.45vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-1.20-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Tufts University1.1817.9%1st Place
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4.98Bowdoin College0.7310.4%1st Place
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6.08Boston University0.106.2%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.1%1st Place
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4.16Bowdoin College1.1315.8%1st Place
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3.66Northeastern University1.3918.6%1st Place
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5.24University of Vermont0.568.9%1st Place
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6.12Texas A&M University0.106.2%1st Place
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7.55McGill University-0.532.9%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University-1.202.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrien Bellanger | 17.9% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Shea McGrath | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 7.0% |
Peter McGonagle | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
Rebecca Schill | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Everett Nash | 18.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Gavin Sanborn | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
Ryan Ingram | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 6.9% |
Tessa Hason | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 24.4% |
James Bergstrom | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.