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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.73+3.97vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.13+2.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+0.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.39-0.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.10+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.56-1.84vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.10-1.81vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.53-1.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-1.20-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Bowdoin College0.739.8%1st Place
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4.18Bowdoin College1.1315.6%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University1.1818.2%1st Place
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3.59Northeastern University1.3920.2%1st Place
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4.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0810.4%1st Place
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6.14Boston University0.106.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Vermont0.569.4%1st Place
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6.19Texas A&M University0.105.4%1st Place
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7.53McGill University-0.532.9%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University-1.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shea McGrath | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
Rebecca Schill | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Adrien Bellanger | 18.2% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Everett Nash | 20.2% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Peter McGonagle | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 6.8% |
Gavin Sanborn | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Ryan Ingram | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
Tessa Hason | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 26.0% | 23.0% |
James Bergstrom | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.