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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+2.67vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+1.64vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.73+1.99vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+2.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56-0.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.27vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-1.20+0.64vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.10-2.73vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.53-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Tufts University1.1818.9%1st Place
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3.64Northeastern University1.3918.3%1st Place
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4.99Bowdoin College0.7310.2%1st Place
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6.25Boston University0.105.8%1st Place
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4.1Bowdoin College1.1315.6%1st Place
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5.21University of Vermont0.569.9%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.3%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University-1.201.3%1st Place
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6.27Texas A&M University0.105.5%1st Place
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7.5McGill University-0.533.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrien Bellanger | 18.9% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Everett Nash | 18.3% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Shea McGrath | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
Renato Korzinek | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 8.0% |
Rebecca Schill | 15.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Gavin Sanborn | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
Peter McGonagle | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
James Bergstrom | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 17.5% | 53.6% |
Ryan Ingram | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 7.5% |
Tessa Hason | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.