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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrien Bellanger 18.9% 17.3% 15.8% 14.5% 11.6% 10.2% 6.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Everett Nash 18.3% 18.8% 15.7% 14.8% 11.7% 9.1% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Shea McGrath 10.2% 10.2% 10.8% 11.8% 12.7% 13.5% 13.1% 9.4% 6.2% 2.2%
Renato Korzinek 5.8% 5.8% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 10.8% 13.2% 16.4% 15.3% 8.0%
Rebecca Schill 15.6% 15.8% 14.8% 12.0% 12.8% 10.3% 8.8% 5.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Gavin Sanborn 9.9% 8.8% 9.8% 12.0% 12.2% 12.7% 12.0% 12.2% 8.0% 2.6%
Peter McGonagle 11.3% 12.8% 12.6% 10.8% 11.8% 12.8% 11.5% 9.1% 5.6% 1.6%
James Bergstrom 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 6.5% 8.1% 17.5% 53.6%
Ryan Ingram 5.5% 6.0% 7.3% 8.1% 9.0% 9.4% 14.3% 17.0% 15.8% 7.5%
Tessa Hason 3.2% 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 7.3% 8.3% 14.5% 25.4% 23.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.