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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+6.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+6.09vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+3.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+3.37vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.96vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-0.61vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-0.26vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-0.63vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56+0.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.31vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.89+0.89vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-5.75vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy3.06-2.40vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-0.80vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-5.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.98vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University2.71-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.18Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.89Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.25Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.6Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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14.2Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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13.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.02Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 28.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
| John McGlynn | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.