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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.90vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.10+3.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18-0.32vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.73-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56-0.76vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.13-2.86vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.53-0.50vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-1.20-0.35vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.10-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Northeastern University1.3919.0%1st Place
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4.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.089.6%1st Place
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6.27Boston University0.105.2%1st Place
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3.68Tufts University1.1818.4%1st Place
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4.86Bowdoin College0.7311.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Vermont0.569.8%1st Place
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4.14Bowdoin College1.1314.5%1st Place
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7.5McGill University-0.534.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University-1.201.4%1st Place
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6.11Texas A&M University0.107.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Nash | 19.0% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Peter McGonagle | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
Renato Korzinek | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 6.9% |
Adrien Bellanger | 18.4% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Shea McGrath | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
Gavin Sanborn | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
Rebecca Schill | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
Tessa Hason | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 24.4% | 24.4% |
James Bergstrom | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 54.4% |
Ryan Ingram | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.