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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Everett Nash 19.0% 18.4% 15.6% 14.8% 10.6% 9.4% 6.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Peter McGonagle 9.6% 10.8% 11.7% 12.7% 13.2% 13.0% 12.7% 9.0% 5.9% 1.6%
Renato Korzinek 5.2% 5.9% 7.0% 7.9% 9.6% 11.6% 13.2% 16.2% 16.6% 6.9%
Adrien Bellanger 18.4% 18.1% 18.4% 11.6% 10.8% 9.0% 7.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Shea McGrath 11.0% 10.4% 11.5% 13.1% 13.1% 12.2% 10.5% 10.4% 5.7% 2.1%
Gavin Sanborn 9.8% 10.1% 10.0% 10.6% 11.0% 11.6% 13.1% 12.8% 8.2% 3.0%
Rebecca Schill 14.5% 15.6% 13.2% 14.1% 13.6% 11.5% 8.6% 5.4% 3.1% 0.4%
Tessa Hason 4.0% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 5.7% 6.8% 8.6% 14.6% 24.4% 24.4%
James Bergstrom 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 3.8% 5.8% 9.3% 16.4% 54.4%
Ryan Ingram 7.1% 6.2% 6.9% 8.4% 9.0% 11.2% 14.1% 14.0% 16.5% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.