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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.18+1.70vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.73+1.92vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+0.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.10+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.56-1.88vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.10-1.65vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-1.20-0.33vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.53-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Northeastern University1.3918.8%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University1.1818.4%1st Place
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4.92Bowdoin College0.7310.3%1st Place
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4.1Bowdoin College1.1315.6%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.5%1st Place
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6.15Boston University0.105.9%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont0.5610.4%1st Place
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6.35Texas A&M University0.105.2%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University-1.201.1%1st Place
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7.56McGill University-0.532.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Nash | 18.8% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Adrien Bellanger | 18.4% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Shea McGrath | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
Rebecca Schill | 15.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Peter McGonagle | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
Renato Korzinek | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 7.1% |
Gavin Sanborn | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
Ryan Ingram | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 8.2% |
James Bergstrom | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 18.9% | 53.5% |
Tessa Hason | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 26.1% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.