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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+7.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+4.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+5.03vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.91vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+2.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08+0.77vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-1.25vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-0.62vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.89+2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-2.39vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy3.06+0.25vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.56-3.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-0.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.18vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University2.71-2.64vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.51-6.71vs Predicted
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18Boston College4.43-11.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.29Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.38Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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12.82Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.25Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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9.78Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.85Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.36Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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6.24Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| William Haeger | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 13.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 26.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% |
| John McGlynn | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 20.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.