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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.18+1.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+1.74vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+0.05vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.73+0.03vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.10+0.17vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.53+0.47vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-1.20+0.58vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.10-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.56-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Northeastern University1.3918.9%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University1.1818.5%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.2%1st Place
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4.05Bowdoin College1.1315.7%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College0.7310.0%1st Place
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6.17Boston University0.105.2%1st Place
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7.47McGill University-0.533.5%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University-1.202.1%1st Place
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6.34Texas A&M University0.105.8%1st Place
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5.17University of Vermont0.569.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Nash | 18.9% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Adrien Bellanger | 18.5% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Peter McGonagle | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
Rebecca Schill | 15.7% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Shea McGrath | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
Renato Korzinek | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
Tessa Hason | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 25.4% | 22.8% |
James Bergstrom | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 17.2% | 54.9% |
Ryan Ingram | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 8.0% |
Gavin Sanborn | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.