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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+6.58vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+4.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.75vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92+4.36vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+3.41vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+8.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+1.17vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-1.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-1.30vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.31-2.89vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.56-0.95vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy3.06+0.25vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71+0.04vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.30vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-7.21vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-5.82vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.89-4.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.36Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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14.26Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.17Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.25Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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13.04Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.7Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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12.76Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 31.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% |
| John McGlynn | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 16.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| OJ O'Connell | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.