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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Everett Nash 18.9% 17.5% 15.9% 14.5% 12.8% 8.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Adrien Bellanger 18.5% 16.4% 13.7% 14.5% 12.9% 11.1% 6.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Peter McGonagle 11.2% 11.9% 13.2% 12.3% 11.2% 11.9% 12.3% 9.1% 5.3% 1.6%
Rebecca Schill 15.7% 15.4% 15.1% 13.4% 12.2% 11.2% 8.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Shea McGrath 10.0% 10.4% 11.9% 11.0% 12.7% 10.9% 12.1% 11.1% 8.1% 1.8%
Renato Korzinek 5.2% 7.1% 7.3% 8.5% 8.3% 10.7% 14.8% 17.6% 12.8% 7.6%
Tessa Hason 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.9% 8.3% 8.3% 14.0% 25.4% 22.8%
James Bergstrom 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 7.2% 17.2% 54.9%
Ryan Ingram 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 7.8% 9.0% 10.7% 12.6% 16.8% 17.2% 8.0%
Gavin Sanborn 9.3% 10.0% 10.5% 10.7% 12.2% 12.4% 13.5% 11.2% 7.8% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.